The Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science (LCDS) will welcome delegates to its Demographic Science Summit on Thursday 17 October 2024 at Rhodes House in Oxford. The Summit will celebrate the five year anniversary of LCDS, establishing the Demographic Science Unit and discussing exciting collaborations and directions for the future.
A full programme can be found below, keynote speakers and panellists include:
- Bill Morneau, Businessman and former Minister of Finance of the Government of Canada
- Ana Isabel Moreno Monroy, Head of Regional Statistics and Analysis Unit OECD
- Frans Willekens, Emeritus Professor Demography, University of Groningen and NIDI)
- Irene Tracey, Vice-Chancellor University of Oxford
- Anna Vignoles, Director of the Leverhulme Trust
- Julia Black, President of the British Academy and incoming Warden Nuffield College
Please note that registration for this event is now unfortunately closed.
Information for delegates
Registration will open at 08:30 in the conference suite at the bottom of the stairs by the main entrance. Keynote speeches will begin promptly at 09:00. Please note that there is no parking at Rhodes House, but you can find a link to the Oxford City Council car parks here. Oxford City Railway Station is a 25 minute walk from Rhodes House, however there is a taxi rank outside the station.
We look forward to welcoming you to the Summit.
Programme
| 08:30 - 08:55 | Registration and refreshments: Conference Suite |
| 09:00 - 09:30 | Introductory Remarks: Convening Hall |
| 09:00 – 09:05 | Prof. Melinda Mills (MBE, FBA, FAcSS) Director LCDS, Professor Demography & Population Health, Nuffield Department of Population Health (OxPop), University of Oxford & Nuffield College |
| 09:05 – 09:15 | Prof. Irene Tracey (CBE, FRS, FMedSci, MAE, FRCA) Vice-Chancellor, University of Oxford |
| 09:15 – 09:25 | Prof. Anna Vignoles (CBE, FBA) Director, The Leverhulme Trust |
| 09:25 – 09:30 | Prof. Julia Black (CBE, FBA) Warden, Nuffield College |
| 09:30 – 09:45 | Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science: The first 5 years |
| Professor Melinda Mills, LCDS Director | |
| 09:50 – 10:20 | Keynote: Bill Morneau, former Minister of Finance Canada (2015-2020), former CEO Morneau Shepell |
| 10:20 – 10:30 | Q&A (Moderator Prof. Mills) |
| 10:30 – 11:00 | Coffee break, networking, posters LCDS researchers, Conference Suite |
| 11:00 – 11:40 | Session 1: Demography in Action (Chair Charles Rahal) |
| 11:00 – 11:10 | Diversity in Genetic Research: Past, present & future trends Charles Rahal, Associate Professor of Data Science and Informatics, LCDS Nature Genetics and realtime, with a scientometric approach. |
| 11:10 – 11:20 | Population nowcasting in a digital world to support humanitarian action Douglas Leasure, Senior Researcher & Data Scientist, LCDS High-impact humanitarian work (PDR paper) with LCDS team |
| 11:20 – 11:30 | Learning Loss due to school closures during the COVID-19 pandemic Per Engzell, LCDS Alumni & Associate Professor Sociology, UCL Policy impact and award-winning research (PNAS paper) with LCDS team |
| 11:30 – 11:40 | Policy and public impact during COVID-19 Jennifer Beam Dowd and Melinda Mills High-impact work with LCDS researchers including Dear Pandemic & Nerdy Girls, life expectancy losses, social networks, demographic science & fatality rates, COVID-19 certificates, misinformation, COVID-19 baby bust, inequality & adherence to NPIs, geospatial forecasting of hospital demand, gender differences in sleep disruption, Royal Society reports on face coverings (shaping UK policy), vaccine deployment and passports |
| 11:40 – 12:10 | Session 1 Panel: Demography in Action (Moderator Charles Rahal) |
| James Arroyo (OBE) Director Ditchley Foundation, former Director for Data, Deputy Director for Cyber, Foreign & Commonwealth Office, UK |
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| Danny Dorling Professor of Human Geography, University of Oxford |
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| Jane Falkingham (CBE, FAcSS, FRSA) Director ESRC Centre for Population Change and Connecting Generations, Prof. Demography and International Social Policy and Vice President (International & Global Engagement), University of Southampton |
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| 12:10 – 13:15 | Lunch, Conference suite |
| 13:15 – 14:05 | Session 2: Demography and Population Health (Chair J. Dowd) |
| 13:15 – 13:25 | Progress stalled? Mortality and health trends in the UK Jennifer Beam Dowd, Professor of Demography & Population Health, LCDS Multiple high-impact papers |
| 13:25 – 13:35 | Life expectancy and life span changes José Manuel Aburto, LCDS Associate, Brass Blacker Associate Professor Demography, LSHTM Multiple high-impact papers |
| 13:35 – 13:45 | Societal-level shocks & their impact on health & inequality Andrea Tilstra, Senior Researcher & Marie Sklodowska-Curie Postdoctoral Fellow, LCDS Covering Opioid epidemic (AJE & IJE) and the COVID-19 pandemic (Nature Communications & Nature Communications) |
| 13:45 – 13:55 | Climate change and fertility Joshua Wilde, Senior Research Fellow, LCDS Covering papers on temperature, natural disasters, shocks & sex ratios |
| 13:55 – 14:05 | Sociogenomics: Research advances from interdisciplinary insights Stefanía Benónísdóttir (presenter), Augustine Kong & LCDS team Multiple papers on fertility timing, number, parental genotypes, siblings and genetics of participation |
| 14:05 – 14:35 | Session 2 Panel: Demography & Population Health (Moderator J.Dowd) |
| Prof. Christl Donnelly, Professor of Applied Statistics, Head of Department of Statistics, University of Oxford | |
| Prof. Zhengming Chen, Richard Peto Professor of Epidemiology, PI China Kadoorie Biobank, OxPop, University of Oxford | |
| Prof. Jakub Bijak, Professor Statistical Demography, University of Southampton | |
| 14:35 – 15:15 | Coffee break, networking, posters LCDS researchers, Conference Suite |
| 15:15 – 16:35 | Session 3: Disruptive Data for Disruptive Demography (Chair M. Mills) |
| 15:15 – 15:25 | Disruptive Demography at LCDS: Dashboards, Geospatial Inequalities and Data4Science Data Donation Melinda Mills, LCDS Director Data dashboards, Mapineq Link & Data4Science start up |
| 15:25 – 15:35 | Gender inequalities in a digitalised world Ridhi Kashyap, Professor Demography & Computational Social Science, LCDS/Department of Sociology, University of Oxford Covering Digital Gender Gaps project, using Facebook, mobile phones, internet, LinkedIn |
| 15:35 – 15:45 | Challenges and Opportunities of New Data for Migration and Family Demography Francesco Rampazzo, Lecturer in Demography LCDS/Department of Sociology, University of Oxford Covering digital trace data, combined with surveys, recent workshop. |
| 15:45 – 15:55 | Machine learning to understand human behaviour: multi-verse and Bayesian approaches Daniel Valdenegro, Senior Data Scientist LCDS Covering recent work and RobustiPy. |
| 15:55 – 16:05 | Predicting individual-level mortality with traditional and machine learning methods Nick Irons, LCDS/Department of Statistics Florence Nightingale Fellow, University of Oxford |
| 16:05 – 16:35 | Session 3 Panel: Disruptive Data, Demography (Moderator M. Mills) |
| Prof. Frans Willekens, Emeritus Professor Demography, University of Groningen, The Netherlands | |
| Dr. Ana Isabel Moreno Monroy, Head Regional Analysis & Statistics Unit, OECD and LCDS Advisory Board | |
| Arthur Soames, Chief Strategy Officer, Premise | |
| 16:35 – 17:05 | Coffee break, networking, posters LCDS researchers, Conference Suite |
| 17:05 – 18:00 | Session 4: The Future, Remembrance & Award, Closing |
| 17:05 – 17:45 | Forecasting the Future: The Next 5 Years, Interactive Polling & visualisation Sander Wagner, Senior Research Associate, LCDS, OxPop, University of Oxford |
| 17:45 – 17:55 | Remembrance and Award Ceremony Julia Mead Knox Memorial Prize for Research in Demography and Population Health |
| 17:55 – 18:00 | Closing Remarks and Thanks Melinda Mills, LCDS Director |